Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.242032 0.279939 0.323183 0.376451 0.440691 0.516152 0.612226
2025-09-07 0.186221 0.235511 0.298269 0.385316 0.504969 0.666755 0.907498
2025-09-14 0.148972 0.200345 0.270986 0.377772 0.539754 0.784314 1.198067
2025-09-21 0.127454 0.179907 0.256601 0.381013 0.586095 0.927008 1.575177
2025-09-28 0.111010 0.162933 0.242751 0.380073 0.623096 1.062756 1.992621
2025-10-05 0.100886 0.153405 0.237923 0.391528 0.682409 1.254111 2.601211
2025-10-12 0.092191 0.144559 0.232288 0.399722 0.736956 1.453089 3.326430
2025-10-19 0.084807 0.136672 0.226747 0.406504 0.789902 1.666294 4.207344
2025-10-26 0.079335 0.131214 0.224472 0.418802 0.857386 1.937338 5.424208
2025-11-02 0.073564 0.124419 0.218607 0.422477 0.906431 2.181938 6.741193
2025-11-09 0.068184 0.117647 0.211751 0.422609 0.947086 2.421008 8.238954
2025-11-16 0.063146 0.110916 0.204019 0.419293 0.978287 2.646805 9.897647
2025-11-23 0.058210 0.103946 0.195106 0.412193 0.999430 2.857629 11.747143
2025-11-30 0.055391 0.100834 0.193824 0.423149 1.074773 3.289914 15.263951
2025-12-07 0.051309 0.094747 0.185398 0.414925 1.092106 3.526414 18.049747
2025-12-14 0.048564 0.091113 0.181875 0.418603 1.147626 3.944095 22.730975
2025-12-21 0.045757 0.087062 0.176904 0.417560 1.188146 4.327519 27.970710
2025-12-28 0.044115 0.085318 0.176996 0.430399 1.280441 5.007155 37.453923
2026-01-04 0.042368 0.083166 0.175853 0.439588 1.363759 5.710977 49.494941
2026-01-11 0.040663 0.080940 0.174254 0.447197 1.444705 6.473630 65.331418
2026-01-18 0.039404 0.079593 0.174650 0.461001 1.556210 7.517892 90.620256
2026-01-25 0.037751 0.077186 0.172087 0.465128 1.630212 8.410575 119.362594
2026-02-01 0.036038 0.074492 0.168479 0.465277 1.687961 9.262375 154.332002